Odds are only Odds

So one of my favorite sites tweeted this earlier today:

Chance committee will rank in Top 4: Alabama 100% Oregon 100% TCU 91% Florida St. 68% Ohio St. 40% Baylor 1% http://t.co/CV2tBxyZXz
— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) December 7, 2014

But, as we all know THE Ohio State managed to leap over TCU and snag one of the four spots and the right to be pummeled to death by Bama. So much for 91 percent versus 40 percent. Remember, odds are just odds. And for TCU, the odds may not have been, despite 538, in their favor. There may be only a 20 percent chance of rain, but that doesn't mean it's not gonna rain (especially if you planned a picnic). Indeed, later 538 tweeted this:

Alabama, Oregon, T̶C̶U̶, Florida State, Ohio State: http://t.co/CV2tBxyZXz
— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) December 7, 2014

So save those strikethroughs. Never know when you're gonna need them.