In my neverending fascination with the presidential nomination process, the "Don't Know/Unsure" numbers always get my attention.
For the Dems, the "unsure" is down to 5 percent. For the GOP candidates, it is 11 percent.
Why the difference?
Both are consistent. The Republican voters have stuck to about 10 percent (plus or minus a couple of percentage points). The Democratic voters are steady as well, sticking in the single digits and never getting any higher than 8 percent.
Okay, fine. But why? Explain the numbers, oh journalism/quantoid guru...
Er, in another post I will do just that. As soon as I come up with a reasonable, working hypothesis ... or at least something that sounds good enough to get away with. I will note that in various runoff possibilities in the general election, the "unsure" gets down to a couple of percentage points. A working hypothesis? We've become so polarized, so partisan. There is volatility among candidate choices, but we are damn sure to at least say we have a favorite.
Tie it to what people know? Basically, thanks to tons of coverage, we think we know a lot about these people (even though only one-third of Americans in one poll could identify Barack Obama).