Tuesday, September 18, 2012

Are Swing Voters Stupid?

Swing voters, so goes the conventional wisdom, decide presidential elections.  Especially close presidential elections.

Especially this presidential election.

But swing voters, argue some, are the least politically knowledgeable.  In trying to explain Obama's success (so far) against Romney, this essay, published Monday by Ilya Somin, posits:
Some of the models also take account of foreign policy events. While one can certainly make a case against Obama’s foreign policy, he has not presided over a large and obvious failure that can clearly be laid at his door in a way that swing voters – most of whom have very low levels of political knowledge – can readily grasp. 
Note that phrase:  readily grasp.  This is a small part of the essay, which really gets into whether or not Obama is "overpowering historical expectations" by being ahead in such lousy economic times.

The older piece (linked to in the quote block above), examines whether "independent-independents" are the least knowledgeable. Set aside for the moment this all confuses independents with undecideds.  Below, I ran some quick numbers using national survey data I'm presently fooling around with.  It's political knowledge on a 4-point scale, ranging from 0-to-4, by partisan identification.


As you can tell, partisans know more, independents less.  There's no statistically significant difference between strong Democrats and strong Republicans (the far left and far right on the scale), or between weak Dems and GOPers.  You do see a difference between the leaners, for what that's worth.  Give the GOP an edge there, mostly explained by education.
 
Keep in mind it's an open question whether the kind of knowledge we measure in such surveys really matters when it comes to voting your own particular interest in a presidential election.  I suspect even someone who performs poorly on such tests can manage to figure out which candidate may govern in their best interest.  They may not be able to put it in words, or at least the kinds of words that will impress political scientists and law professors (or journalism guys like me), but my hunch is many of these independent-independents, despite doing poorly on our political tests, feel they can vote just fine, thank you very much, by broadly perceiving the differences between the two parties or the two candidates.

Wednesday, September 12, 2012

Selective Something

We all have filters.  We all selectively choose to attend to certain media, or selectively remember what we see or read, or selectively recall what we've been exposed to.

We're all selective somethings.

The same is true for economic news, apparently, given the fine folks at Pew and their latest report.  The graphic says it all.


Monday, September 10, 2012

Young People Hate the News?

Interesting story (and comments) today over on Romenesko about a new book by Texas journalism prof Paula Poindexter that examines young people and attempts to explain why they, well, hate the news.

Poindexter's book is to the left.  At $150 on Amazon for the hardback, this is as close most of us will ever get.  But it's just $37 for the paperback, so when it's in stock, line up for the cheaper price.

What's all the fuss?  Lemme quote from the press release:

Through a national survey on news engagement, Poindexter has found five major factors affecting millennials’ news consumption:
  • Most millennials give the news media average to failing grades when it comes to reporting on their generation.
  • Millennials describe news as garbage, lies, one-sided, propaganda, repetitive and boring.
  •  When they consume news, millennials are more likely than their baby boomer parents to access news with smartphones and apps and share news through social media, texting and email.
  •  Most millennials do not depend on news to help with their daily lives.
  •  The majority of millennials do not feel being informed is important.
As you can imagine, this is getting some attention, especially the part where millennials find the news "garbage" and don't feel being informed is all that important.  A lot of commenters, of course, argue differently, making the methodological mistake of generalizing from the people they know.  Poindexter's study, which apparently relies on survey data, has something very different to say.

Do I buy it?  Only kinda sorta.

Not that Poindexter doesn't know her stuff.  She's a serious scholar, but until I can review the methodology I can't really say one way or the other whether her theses above make sense.  I say "kinda sorta" because so much depends on how you ask these questions and whether what you think of as news is what they think of as news. 

But if you read carefully what's available on the link above, this is an ambitious project worthy of respect and attention.  Just read the graph below:
During the fall semester, Poindexter and other School of Journalism professors are incorporating the Millennials and News resource into their courses. One such course is “Journalism, Society and the Citizen Journalist,” which Poindexter created with support from the Carnegie Corporation of New York as part of the Carnegie-Knight Initiative on the Future of Journalism Education. Over the course of the semester, students will read and comment on stories posted on the Facebook news page and relevant news will be discussed during class. With the 2012 presidential election approaching, Poindexter said election stories will be an important part of the news mix, so students will have a convenient and reliable place to go to get informed about the candidates, issues, campaign strategies and latest poll results.

That's the kind of nimble, innovative approach to journalism that I'd love to see in my own university.  Sigh.



Sunday, September 9, 2012

Journalism Education is Going to Hell

Journalism education is going to hell.

I'm not sure where this idea began, but you have to start with Eric Newton.  Here's one speech that opened the floodgates that continued through summer.  And there was this post by Jerry Ceppos of LSU,   Finally, a more recent blog, and subsequent comments, elaborated on this point.

This is a multi-pronged attack, and it was the talk of AEJMC, the major academic organization in journalism and mass comm that meets every August.  The main arguments appear to be:
  •  Universities do not respect professional faculty.  Or as Newton put it, "The degree is primary, competence is an also-ran."  
  • Journalism education is slow to adopt to changes in the real world.
  • Journalism and mass comm research is of low quality and has little relevance or impact on the professional world.
There's probably more, but those three appear to offer a stinging indictment of academic journalism.  But as any cop/courts reporter knows, getting an indictment is easy.  Proving your case in court is another matter.  And the evidence offered in the links above is weak, so weak as to get the case tossed out of court before ever reaching a jury.

Let's take 'em one at a time.

Universities do not respect professional faculty.  From my own limited experience of 21 years teaching, this is bullshit.  What Ceppos and Newton appear to want is a pass for anyone with experience to walk into the classroom of a major research university.  First off, most good schools have a mix of "academic" and "professional" faculty.  Hell, in my own department, even the "academic" types (including me) spent years in the newsroom.  Yeah, I'm a PhDweeb.  Damn proud of it.  I struggled through five years of graduate school making about 10 grand a year to earn my doctorate.  You a pro?  Do the same, dammit, or shut the hell up.  But departments around the country have professional faculty, lots of 'em.  My own has several.  Damn good ones, too.  Our own late Conrad Fink was a god.

Even Ceppos makes this point, noting the number of "professionals" (what the hell are the rest of us, friggin amateurs?) hired recently as deans at major schools.   As he wrote:
I’ll concede that, ironically, it sometimes is easier to be hired as a dean rather than a professor. But many schools offer professional tracks, professional-in-residence jobs and other positions that don’t require advanced degrees.
And the false binary above, that two choices exist -- a degree, or competence, is just plain insulting.  Are there people in the classroom who shouldn't be?  Yup.  And I remember a few of those in the newsroom as well.  At least one of 'em was just made dean at a major journalism school.

Journalism education is slow to change.  I halfway agree with this.  I've seen it in my own department, I've heard about it from others.  Universities are slow to change and lots of faculty want to preserve their little bit of turf when it comes time to change the curriculum.  Yes, we need to update things -- just not my things, not my major, not my class that I like to teach only on Tuesdays and Thursdays so I can have a long weekend where I "work at home."  We struggle with this.  Everyone does.

To be fair, the professionals have been even slower to change.  Remember that Internet thing?  Academics were there first.  Social media?  There years before you even knew what Facebook was.  And the professionals have been sending us mixed messages for decades.  "We want critical thinkers," they'd say, while advertising for specific skills identified by software, such as InDesign.  But yes, we all need to change.  The problem is the professions, and many academics, are too quick to chase the latest fad.  That helps no one.  We still focus hard on basic and advanced writing skills while integrating multimedia, social media, and computer-assisted reporting into our curriculum.

Journalism research sucks.  Okay, mine may suck, and it's easy to make fun of some of the titles and research you see out there.  Newton's blog post above, though, is so full of logical holes as to be laughable.  For example, he uses citation analysis to say journalism research doesn't matter while at the same time saying we need more research that helps the profession (which would hardly generate more citations).  He names three journals that have "journalism" in the title but skips a vital one -- Newspaper Research Journal -- that focuses on bridging the academic-professional divide.  His essay is flawed and unprofessional -- kinda the same thing he bitches about, except with no real understanding of how social science is done, how it is written, and a key point -- scholarly research is not about helping journalism, it's about asking interesting questions to the scholar, not something determined by industry.  You want industrial research?  Pay for it.  We work for the people, not you.

But here's a hint.  Just because you can't understand a piece of research, that doesn't make it bad research. 

I'd go on, but it's a Sunday night and I still have more papers to grade.  You know, that journalism stuff.


Thursday, September 6, 2012

Uses & Grats

I'm not a fan of the uses and gratifications approach to understanding media, but I have to admit it's becoming more and more -- yes, useful -- in getting at our fragmenting media landscape.  Just look at the graph provided by the fine folks at Pew:


People move from source to source based, it seems, on the gratifications they're likely to get from that source.  Wanna be entertained?  The Colbert Report is there for you (53 percent), but apparently not so much The Wall Street Journal (2 percent).  Sticking with Stephen, look across the row.  Yes, he's entertaining, but few people looking for the latest headlines or in-depth reporting end up there.  And that makes sense.

So uses and grats basically tells us we seek out different media to fulfill a need.  The Pew table above, it validates that body of research in a simple way.  When you want the latest news, you go to the TV networks or your daily newspaper.  Want in-depth stuff?  That's the realm of the two national newspapers (WSJ and NYT).  When asked about views and opinions, up pops the specific programs often found on the cable news channels (O'Reilly on Fox, for example, or Maddow on MSNBC).

For many of you, this qualifies as a "duh" moment.  But for others, it may be new.  An important aspect of understanding why people choose the media they choose is what they hope to get out of it:  entertainment, relaxation, insight, etc.  I read The Atlantic because it makes me look smarter.

Wednesday, September 5, 2012

MTV Cracks the Apathy Code?

I wrote about this some time ago (nice to know I'm so far ahead of the curve), but here's a new LATimes story that argues MTV's fantasy politics game may have "cracked the code to voter apathy."

Dunno about that as there's no real data from which to judge the claim.  Still, it does look like fun, at least if you're fantasy football, baseball, and yes -- politics.  Because, ya know, everything needs to be a game.


Tuesday, September 4, 2012

What People Know ... about Penn State

I'm slow getting to this one -- just stumbled across it today -- but here's a survey asking people what they know about the Penn State scandal.  Turns out, not as much as you'd think.

True or False:  "Joe Paterno was accused of molesting children."

Of course False, but 28 percent said True.  Wow.  Just over half (55 percent) got it right.

There's a trick question too.  "To your best knowledge, what school fired a coach of a major men's sports program in 2011 for sexually abusing young boys?"

It's a trick question because any reasonable person would instantly answer Penn State, but that's not the case.  It's Syracuse that fired an assistant basketball coach last year.  In the Penn State case, the guy was no longer a coach.