Monday, July 10, 2017

Parking Tickets, UGA Style

It's time for my annual requests of various data from UGA, this one the ever-popular parking ticket data for Academic Year 2016-2017 (beginning and end of classes).

Here's a first blush with the data. I have other stuff going on, so will dig more another time.

There were 27,439 tickets written last academic year. On another post I'll compare this to previous years but it seems a bit more. The top lots? Below are the Top Five with the actual number of tix written in parentheses):

  1. Legion Pool (1800)
  2. Ramsey Center Lot (1396) 
  3. Carlton Street (1193)
  4. West Campus Deck (887)
  5. East River Road Area (690)
Again, on another day I'll do some comparisons to previous years, but I vaguely recall Legion being #1 last year, the first time a Ramsey lot had not led in the years I've been doing this. I thought Legion jumped to the top in 15-16 academic year because of construction around Bolton, but I'm not sure that explains this year.

By the way, most of those Legion pool lots were written in the afternoon/evening but more Ramsey tix were written in the morning, before noon. On another day I'll break this down finer, hour by hour. I'm kinda rushed at the moment.

Okay, day of the week is always interesting. More tickets were written on Wednesdays than any other days. Below I break it down for you, by percentages:
  • Sunday (0%)
  • Monday (20.8%)
  • Tuesday (21.7%)
  • Wednesday (23.1%)
  • Thursday (18.0%)
  • Friday (15.9%)
  • Saturday (0.6%)
I can break this down a million ways and probably will when time allows. Just so you know, Tuesdays and Wednesdays are the busiest at Legion Pool for tickets, but Monday is the busiest at Ramsey Center Lot., but not by much. Friday is the busiest day at Health Sciences. Go figure.

There are 231 lots listed. Of these, 18 had only 1 ticket written. There may be other lots where no tix were written and don't show up in my data, but I have elsewhere a list of every friggin lot on campus and how many spaces are in that lot. I suspect it's out of date, but I use it to compare pound-for-pound what lots get more tickets than you'd expect, given their size. The usual winner of this is the Psychology lot outside my office, the patient parking one, where people are apparently unable to read the large signs that say Don't Park Here. Patient Parking. Never mind there are far too many spaces set aside for the one or two patients who swing through the psychology clinic.

UPDATE

Here's the total list by lot and # of tix.

LEGION POOL
1800
RAMSEY CENTER LOT
1396
CARLTON ST
1193
WEST CAMPUS DECK
887
E RIVER ROAD AREA
690
RAILROAD LOT
682
Health Sciences Campus
670
W. COLISEUM
665
Kappa Alpha
624
- North Hull
598
DRIFTMIER ENGINEERING
552
ACADEMIC ACHIEVEMENT CTR.
538
NORTH RIVER ROAD AREA
535
LIFE SCIENCES A (UPPER)
499
EAST VILLAGE DECK
477
ADERHOLD CLINIC
445
NO PARKING AREA
417
CHI PSI HOUSE
413
O'Malleys
408
MORRIS HALL
404
RUTHERFORD HALL
399
HARDMAN HALL
396
LIVESTOCK - POULTRY
384
RAMSEY / LOWER
383
REED HALL
378
PSYCHOLOGY CLINIC
377
BOGGS HALL
366
E. BOYD GRAD STUDIES
351
BOLTON HALL
341
EAST CAMPUS RD
331
GREEK PARK
305
UPPER RUSSELL
298
Vet Med Campus
271
NORTH PVAC B
269
SANFORD DR
253
VETERINARY MEDICINE
239
IM Deck
223
BARROW ANNEX
216
TRIANGLE LOT
214
INTRAMURAL FIELDS
211
NORTH PVAC C
202
LOWER FORESTRY
189
MAIN LIBRARY
183
THOMAS - OCONEE ST
178
MCWHORTER HALL REAR UPPER
169
ANIMAL SCIENCES SW
166
MCWHORTER HALL REAR LOWER
166
RIVER'S CROSSING
149
OLD PHYSICAL PLANT
149
HOOPER ST
146
ROGERS RD (P-S)
142
AG TECH/ HORTICULTURE
142
BUSINESS SVCS ANNEX
134
Baldwin Hall Small
121
BRUMBY HALL-MAIN
119
Newton Street Paved
118
CHURCH ST LOTS
113
SOUTH CAMPUS DECK
111
MCWHORTER HALL (FRONT)
105
O'HOUSE DINING
101
FIELD STREET
99
ROGERS RD (M,N)
99
MIDDLE OCONEE ST
98
ANIMAL SCIENCES EAST
96
NORTH OF EV DECK
95
NORTH CAMPUS DECK
93
AUXILIARY SVCS
86
UPPER PHARMACY
86
UNIVERSITY VILLAGE (C)
84
Coverdell
83
HILL HALL
81
- Enviromental Design
79
UNIVERSITY VILLAGE (H)
79
GENERAL PARKING AREA
79
FINE ARTS MILITARY
76
LOWER OCONEE ST
76
OGLETHORPE HOUSE
75
FANNING INSTITUTE
75
LOWER CRESWELL
74
- Drawing & Painting Studio
72
PSYCHOLOGY
72
EAST DECK
72
BALDWIN HALL
71
1324 S. LUMPKIN
68
E. Cloverhurst & University
66
CHICOPEE BROAD
63
CRESWELL CIRCLE
62
FOOD PROCESSING
60
EVH LOADING ZONE
60
CLOVERHURST
59
THOMAS ST ART
58
CARLTON ST DECK
58
NEWTON STREET GRAVEL
57
PHYSICS
56
THORNTON BROTHERS
55
UPPER CRESWELL
55
SANFORD CIRCLE
54
ADERHOLD HALL
50
BRUMBY HALL-LOWER
48
REED PIT
48
UNIVERSITY VILLAGE (A,B)
48
SPRING ST
47
HOME MGMT. CIRCLE
47
CONNER HALL
46
HEALTH CENTER PATIENT
46
N. HERTY CANDLER
45
BRUMBY CIRCLE
45
MCPHAUL PARENT
43
VISITORS CENTER
42
SNELLING REAR
42
Dean Rusk
41
CHICOPEE FIRST ST
39
COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
37
WRAY-NICHOLSON
36
Visitor Parking
35
Student Worker Lot
35
FOOD SCIENCES
34
Dooley Plaza
34
BRANDON OAKS
33
CHURCH HALL
33
UNIVERSITY VILLAGE (E)
33
FOUR TOWERS
30
TATE CENTER LOT
30
HULL STREET DECK
30
FAMILY HOUSING OFFICE
29
UNIVERSITY VILLAGE (K)
29
UNIVERSITY VILLAGE (G)
28
LIFE SCIENCES C (LOWER)
26
Greenhouses
25
RIVERBEND REASEARCH LABS
23
DELTA CHI (N. END)
23
TENNIS COURT
23
LOWER BROOKS
23
UNIVERSITY VILLAGE (J)
23
CHICOPEE UTILITIES
23
HOKE SMITH ANNEX
22
CLARKE HOWELL
18
HODSON OIL
17
RUTHERFORD ST
17
UNIVERSITY VILLAGE (D)
16
N. BOYD GRAD
16
UNIVERSITY VILLAGE (L)
14
Ceramics
13
CCRC Wooded Lot
13
CREAMERY (ENVIP HEALTH)
13
TATE PAY LOT
12
HEALTH CENTER
12
DAWSON HALL
11
CHICOPEE HERMAN ST
11
HUMAN RESOURCES
11
LUCY COBB INST.
10
TUCKER HALL
10
INT. DESIGN STUDIOS
9
CCRC
9
PAC DECK
7
CHEMISTRY STOCKROOM
7
PLANT SCIENCES SV
6
Botany
5
MC/SC Parking
5
RUSSELL HALL SV
5
REAR CRESWELL SV
4
HEALTH CENTER ANNEX
4
VET SMALL ANIMAL CLINIC
4
TRAINING AND DEVELOPMENT
4
GILBERT HALL
4
LOWER PHARMACY
4
OFFICE MACHINE MAINT.
4
HUNTER - HOLMES
3
CHEMISTRY
3
BAXTER LUMPKIN
3
CENTRAL FOOD STORAGE
3
#VALUE!
3
SOUTH OF EV DECK
2
SMITH ST SV
2
BUTTS-MEHRE
2
ECOLOGY
2
MELL HALL
2
JOURNALISM SV
2
Carlton Street
1
HEALTH CENTER LOADING
1
ADMIN BUILDING
1
CAMPUS MAIL/ ENV. SAFETY
1
FORESTRY -REAR
1
GMOA
1
GA CENTER - REAR
1
OFFICE GOV. RELATIONS
1
PAINTING STUDIOS
1
LIPSCOMB HALL
1
CHICOPEE VINE ST
1
Grand Total
27439

Monday, July 3, 2017

That Senate Health Care Plan

A new Fox News poll about the U.S. Senate's health care plan ain't pretty for Republicans and those hoping to "repeal and replace" Obamacare. Scroll down to Question 25, or just look at the graphic below that summarizes the results. As you can see, the 43 percent "strongly oppose" dominates compared to the meager 11 percent who "strongly favor" the proposed law.

If you dig deeper into the crosstabs you'll find women oppose the Senate plan more than men (58-50 percent), Among Republicans, 25 percent oppose the plan, and 24 percent of "Trump voters" say they oppose it. Oddly, better educated or higher income respondents were more likely to oppose it than those who would be hit hardest by the law, those with less education and income.

The takeaway? The Senate proposal is in bad shape, and this from a Fox poll. That doesn't mean the Senate may cook up a different approach (repeal with no replace), but it shows just how unpopular the present plan is. Oh, and Obamacare? Below is the change from March 2015 to this most recent Fox poll (just Fox numbers, not other pollsters). Obamacare is doing pretty good.


Wednesday, June 14, 2017

More District 6

I know we're watching stories on the London fire and the GOP shooting today, and rightfully so given the tragedies, but the 6th Congressional District race still matters, at least politically. The Democrat, John Ossoff, had enjoyed a couple of 7-percentage-point leads in recent polls, but a new one has it as a dead heat (freaking out Dems, heartening Republicans). It's really important to peek under the hood on this one. Indeed, the folks who conducted the poll included this warning:


I love that, cut corners recklessly, which kinda defines of a lot of political reporting, especially on cable news. Anyway, the text on the linked page above goes to some length to explain why the sudden change may or may not matter. It's worth reading, the problem is it's hard to incorporate such caveats into political stories, especially on television -- a medium ill suited to nuance.

Among those respondents who say they're already voted, Ossoff has a 19 percentage point advantage over Karen Handel. Among those who have not yet returned an early ballot, Handel has a 14 percentage point advantage. What's that tell you? It's gonna be damn close. Dems tend to do well with early voters and do well in high-turnout races.

Then there's this fascinating warning in the poll methodology that you should read:
3 weeks ago, a SurveyUSA poll for WXIA-TV had Ossoff 7 points atop Handel. Some of the change in outcome poll-on-poll may reflect sampling vagaries and not reflect actual movement in the contest. Today's survey has fewer high-school educated respondents and fewer lower-income respondents than did SurveyUSA's sample 3-weeks ago. Both high-school educated voters and lower-income voters back Ossoff. Today's sample is older than SurveyUSA's release 3 weeks ago. Older voters back Handel. If you see these 3 differences as bugs not features, you can argue that Ossoff is today no worse off than he was 3 weeks ago.
So we're talking about the vagaries of sampling here, the kind that make it tough to call a congressional race in the first place. Interesting weird factoid, if I'm reading this right. Keep in mind GOP candidates do better in landline surveys, Dems in cell phone surveys, given the ages of respondents who rely on each. In the previous survey, Handel won on in the landline sample 52-46 and Ossoff won on the cell sample 57-34. In the newer survey, Handel again won the landline 52-46 but Ossoff only won the cell sample 48-42. What's that mean? No idea. If I had more time I'd dig and figure it out, but it just could be statistical noise.